Comparing Foreign Direct Investment In Nigeria Under Jonathan, Buhari

Buhari
Jonathan


As you are read this, President Muhammadu Buhari is warming up to travel to United Kingdom for an anti-corruption summit holding on Wednesday, May 11, 2016.
If you ask any of his media aides, Malam Garba Shehu, or Mr Femi Adesina, they will tell you as always that the president’s frequent travels is to reconcile Nigeria with the international community. They will tell you that Nigeria was a corrupt and pariah nation under Jonathan, as such the new president is reconnecting Nigeria back to the international community and attract foreign investment for the country. That is a lie from the pit of hell. Nigeria was not a pariah nation under President Goodluck Jonathan. While we agree that there was corruption in Nigeria under Jonathan, as in this administration, Jonathan attracted more foreign investment than any other administration in Nigeria’s history. Indeed Nigeria is losing fast foreign investment garnered under Jonathan in the last one year despite all the foreign travels by Buhari to attract investments.
Below are the facts and figures to support my position and sources for further reading:
In 2013, under Jonathan, for the first time in Nigeria’s history, the country beat South Africa as the number one Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) destination in Africa, as compiled by United Nations agency, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTD).

Details Of Media Reports On Foreign Investments ­­­Under ‘Corrupt’ Jonathan

Nigeria Is Top FDI Destination In Africa- African Business March 2012 edition.
Nigeria has become the number-one destination for foreign direct investment, overtaking South Africa for the first time in a decade. This year alone, high-level delegations from north America have pledged vast sums to bring the country’s energy sector up to speed. Frederick Mordi reports from Lagos.
Foreign investors have been coming to Nigeria in droves from all over the world over the last few years and they have taken advantage of the current congenial business environment created by the government to step up their volume of investments.
In January alone, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow into Nigeria was estimated at $5.2bn (N800bn). There are indications that this figure will continue to rise. According to the 2012 World Investment Report, prepared by the Geneva-based United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (Unctad), Nigeria emerged as the Africa’s biggest destination for FDI in Africa in 2011, with $8.92bn, up from $6.10bn recorded in 2010. Unctad ranked South Africa next with $5.81bn, while Ghana ($3.22bn); Congo, ($2.93bn); and Algeria, ($2.57bn) trailed behind in that order during the period under review. The report ranked these countries as the top five African FDI destinations, based on the volume of FDI they received.
 (See African Business March 2012 edition).

Nigeria Still Top Investment Destination In Africa, UNCTAD
For the second time in two years, Nigeria has retained its position as Africa’s number one destination for Foreign Direct Investment, according to the global FDI report released by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development on Wednesday.
This, however, is despite the fact that FDI inflows into the country actually fell from $8.9bn in 2011 to $7bn last year.

Specifically, the UNCTAD World Investment Report 2013 subtitled: ‘Global value chains: Investment and trade for development, disclosed that Nigeria recorded FDI inflows of $7.03bn in 2012 to beat other African countries.
FDI into South Africa stood at $4.572bn; Ghana, $3.295bn; Egypt, $2.798bn; and Angola, $-6.898bn, among others.
Source: http://pr-primus-ng.com/index.php/en/newss/87-information/104-investment-in-nigeria


FDI: Nigeria Still Among Top Three In Africa Despite Challenges-BusinessDay

Nigeria remains one of the top three destinations for foreign direct investments (FDI) in Africa, despite current challenges, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) has said. UNCTAD said this just as the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) gave its nod, in Vienna, on Wednesday, for the establishment of an Investment and…


Foreign Investment Under ‘Corruption Free’ Buhari
Nigeria’s Flow Of Foreign Investments Drops By 74%-By Nation
The flow of foreign capital into Nigeria is drying up, and it’s a huge blow to its economy.
Foreign investments came in at $711 million in the first quarter of 2016 — a whopping 74% drop from a year before.
The steepest decline came from portfolio inflows, which dropped 85% year-over-year, according to analysts at Capital Economics.
“The collapse in investment inflows will deal two very serious blows to Nigeria’s economy, which is already reeling due to low oil prices,” warned Capital Economics’ Africa economist, John Ashbourne, in a note to clients.
“This will exacerbate the country’s serious balance of payments problems and further depress investment in an economy that is starved of capital,” he continued.
Notably, although it’s easy to point the finger at lower oil prices, that’s not the only thing souring sentiment towards Nigeria. Many investors have also been discouraged by the government’s controversial policies.
Recently, the government has pursued an agenda of currency and price controls — including on petrol — which has resulted in inflation soaring to its highest rate since July 2012 and in one of the worst fuel shortages in years.
The “complex FX restrictions caused Nigeria to be ejected from a widely-tracked JPMorgan EM bond index in Q3 2015 and have deterred potential investors who worry about repatriating earnings,” added Ashbourne. ”Many investors are waiting for the naira to be devalued towards something closer to the parallel market rate.”
In short, it’s not looking great.


Investors Lose Interest In Nigeria As JPMorgan Cuts Bonds - Bloomberg

JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s decision to exclude Nigeria from its local-currency emerging-market bond indexes tops a year of pain for a nation reeling from a collapse in oil prices, slowing growth and a lack of economic leadership.

Nigeria has gone almost full circle from a favored investor destination in Africa three years ago -- because of its status as the continent’s largest crude producer and most populous nation -- to being rebuffed.
Nigeria has gone almost full circle from a favored investor destination in Africa three years ago -- because of its status as the continent’s largest crude producer and most populous nation -- to being rebuffed. While most of the weakening sentiment is due to the more than halving in oil prices since last year, a series of missteps by the central bank and President Muhammadu Buhari’s delay in appointing an economic team are adding to the slide.
The JPMorgan news is “a clear signal of dampened investor sentiment,” Manji Cheto, vice president of Teneo Intelligence in London, said by phone on Wednesday. “For things to turn around so quickly in three years’ time shows how important it is for governments to recognize that market sentiment is so fickle, and I don’t think the Nigerian government ever really understood this.”



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